Climate Change Effect on Potential Distribution of Anatolian Chestnut (Castanea sativa Mill.) in the Upcoming Century in Turkiye

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dc.authoridKoç, İsmail/0000-0001-5847-9155en_US
dc.authoridSevik, Hakan/0000-0003-1662-4830en_US
dc.authoridÇobanoğlu, Hatice/0000-0001-9136-574Xen_US
dc.authorscopusid58072578600en_US
dc.authorscopusid57204608678en_US
dc.authorscopusid56072436300en_US
dc.authorscopusid13204978500en_US
dc.authorscopusid36633291300en_US
dc.authorwosidKoç, İsmail/GPT-4573-2022en_US
dc.authorwosidSevik, Hakan/A-4706-2018en_US
dc.authorwosidÇobanoğlu, Hatice/HLX-8503-2023en_US
dc.contributor.authorCobanoglu, Hatice
dc.contributor.authorCanturk, Ugur
dc.contributor.authorKoc, Ismail
dc.contributor.authorKulac, Semsettin
dc.contributor.authorSevik, Hakan
dc.date.accessioned2024-08-23T16:03:25Z
dc.date.available2024-08-23T16:03:25Z
dc.date.issued2023en_US
dc.departmentDüzce Üniversitesien_US
dc.description.abstractClimate change, which is effective on a global scale, affects almost all living creatures and ecosystems directly or indirectly. Forests are at the top of the ecosystems that are predicted to be affected more by climate. This study intended to determine how the growth regions of the Anatolian chestnut in Turkiye belong to one of the utmost vital forest tree species, which will be affected by climate change. Within the study scope, suitable areas for the growth of the species in 2040, 2060, 2080, and 2100 were determined under different scenario models [intermediate (shared socio-economic pathways 245) and most extreme (shared socio-economic pathway 585)] and compared with the natural distribution areas of today (the year of 2020). As a result of the study, it is predicted that the suitable distribution areas for Anatolian chestnut cultivation will decrease significantly, especially after 2060-2080, and even disappear entirely by 2080, according to the extreme scenarios. Even with the best scenario (shared socio-economic pathway 245), it is projected that the suitable growth regions for Anatolian chestnuts will decrease to one-fifth of today's levels in 2100. It may be recommended to create mixed forests with better-adapted chestnut varieties or origins for future conditions due to being more resilient to various environmental stress factors. In addition, considering the future projections, new chestnut plantations should be established in suitable areas for chestnut production.en_US
dc.identifier.doi10.5152/forestist.2023.22065
dc.identifier.endpage256en_US
dc.identifier.issn2602-4039
dc.identifier.issue3en_US
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-85173638885en_US
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ4en_US
dc.identifier.startpage247en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.5152/forestist.2023.22065
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12684/13743
dc.identifier.volume73en_US
dc.identifier.wosWOS:001115138200005en_US
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ4en_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Scienceen_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopusen_US
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherAvesen_US
dc.relation.ispartofForestisten_US
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanıen_US
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessen_US
dc.subjectCastanea sativa Mill.en_US
dc.subjectclimate changeen_US
dc.subjecthabitat distributionen_US
dc.subjectmodelingen_US
dc.subjectTree Species Distributionen_US
dc.subjectImpactsen_US
dc.subjectPlantsen_US
dc.subjectNicheen_US
dc.titleClimate Change Effect on Potential Distribution of Anatolian Chestnut (Castanea sativa Mill.) in the Upcoming Century in Turkiyeen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US

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