Impacts of climate change scenarios on European ash tree (Fraxinus excelsior L.) in Turkey

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dc.authoridSevik, Hakan/0000-0003-1662-4830
dc.authoridcetin, mehmet/0000-0002-8992-0289
dc.authorwosidSevik, Hakan/A-4706-2018
dc.authorwosidcetin, mehmet/O-4016-2015
dc.contributor.authorVarol, Tugrul
dc.contributor.authorCanturk, Ugur
dc.contributor.authorCetin, Mehmet
dc.contributor.authorOzel, Halil Baris
dc.contributor.authorSevik, Hakan
dc.date.accessioned2021-12-01T18:49:38Z
dc.date.available2021-12-01T18:49:38Z
dc.date.issued2021
dc.department[Belirlenecek]en_US
dc.description.abstractClimate change is expected to have various impacts on forest ecosystems through drought, heat stress, insect invasions and forest fires. Therefore, lack of taking the necessary measures in time will lead to the extinction or endangerment of valuable species. The entropy method was used in order to estimate the geographic distribution of Fraxinus excelsior L. available in Turkey under present and future climate conditions. 19 bioclimatic variables obtained from the monthly data within 30 provinces, where Fraxinus excelsior L. was found in Turkey, as well as the topographic variable of elevation were used in the modelling process. The results show that Fraxinus excelsior L. is largely affected by precipitation in the driest month, the driest quarter and the hottest quarter. According to the response curve of Fraxinus excelsior L. in Turkey, it is observed that it prefers the habitats with average precipitation of 22 mm in the driest month, average precipitation of 100 mm in the driest quarter and the precipitation over 70 mm in the hottest quarter. The SSPs 245 and SSPs 585 climate scenarios, respectively, show that the geographic distribution of Fraxinus excelsior L. will narrow by 7.58% and 6.28% in 2100. All of these results show that species response to the individual and communal impacts as well as the impacts at ecosystem scale dictated by climate change by changing their climatic niches. Most of the plant species that lack an effective and rapid migration ability will have difficulty in finding suitable habitat areas. Thus, the ecological consequences of the narrowing experienced in the foreseen borders may have serious consequences for both the management and protection of forests.en_US
dc.description.sponsorshipRepublic of Turkey Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry, Turkeyen_US
dc.description.sponsorshipThe authors thank the supported by the Republic of Turkey Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry, Turkey, General Directorate of Forestry and the General Directorate of Meteorology for their prompt responses to our requests.en_US
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.foreco.2021.119199
dc.identifier.issn0378-1127
dc.identifier.issn1872-7042
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-85103956371en_US
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ1en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2021.119199
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12684/10754
dc.identifier.volume491en_US
dc.identifier.wosWOS:000647738700013en_US
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ1en_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Scienceen_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopusen_US
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherElsevieren_US
dc.relation.ispartofForest Ecology And Managementen_US
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanıen_US
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccessen_US
dc.subjectClimate change scenarioen_US
dc.subjectDisturbanceen_US
dc.subjectFraxinus excelsior Len_US
dc.subjectMaximum entropyen_US
dc.subjectResponseen_US
dc.subjectTurkeyen_US
dc.subjectPhenotypic Plasticityen_US
dc.subjectSpecies Distributionsen_US
dc.subjectLocal Adaptationen_US
dc.subjectForesten_US
dc.subjectResponsesen_US
dc.subjectMaxenten_US
dc.subjectFutureen_US
dc.subjectNigraen_US
dc.subjectEvolutionen_US
dc.subjectIndexesen_US
dc.titleImpacts of climate change scenarios on European ash tree (Fraxinus excelsior L.) in Turkeyen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US

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