Assessing disaster vulnerability and proposing an adaptive disaster risk reduction framework: the case of Istanbul

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dc.contributor.authorHaksevenler, Betul Hande Gursoy
dc.contributor.authorSenik, Berfin
dc.contributor.authorSengul, Zeynep
dc.contributor.authorAkpinar, Aydin
dc.date.accessioned2025-10-11T20:48:44Z
dc.date.available2025-10-11T20:48:44Z
dc.date.issued2025
dc.departmentDüzce Üniversitesien_US
dc.description.abstractThe importance of vulnerability analysis in disaster management is increasingly recognized, especially in megacities like Istanbul. This study focuses on conducting an in-depth analysis of the vulnerabilities of Istanbul's districts to various disasters such as earthquakes, landslides, floods, tsunamis, and sea-level rise. The evaluation considered three key factors: exposure, which refers to the shocks and stresses that a district may experience and the frequency and extent of potential losses; sensitivity, which indicates how the district responds to these shocks; and adaptive capacity, which reflects the district's ability to withstand and recover from such impacts. According to these key factors, indicators were identified, relevant data were collected and generated, and the Analytic Hierarchy Process method was applied for weighting. The study reveals that districts located in the southern belt, particularly those with dense urbanization and coastal areas, exhibit higher levels of vulnerability. Among Istanbul's 39 districts, 13 districts, including Gungoren, Bahcelievler, and Zeytinburnu, were classified as highly vulnerable. Additionally, 14 districts were moderately vulnerable, 9 had low vulnerability, and 3, including Silivri, Catalca, and Sile, had very low vulnerability. An adaptive disaster risk reduction framework was proposed for the districts. These findings are intended to assist local governments in more effectively planning disaster management and risk reduction strategies. The findings support Istanbul's resilience and offer valuable guidance for urban planning and disaster management, both locally and globally.en_US
dc.description.sponsorshipTechnological Research Council of Turkeyen_US
dc.description.sponsorshipUrban Problems and Local Government Research and Implementation Centre at Marmara University [122K627]en_US
dc.description.sponsorshipScientific and Technological Research Council of Turkey (TUBITAK)en_US
dc.description.sponsorshipTUBITAKen_US
dc.description.sponsorshipThis study was conducted by the Urban Problems and Local Government Research and Implementation Centre at Marmara University and supported by the Scientific and Technological Research Council of Turkey (TUBITAK) under Grant Number 122K627. The author would like to express gratitude to TUBITAK for their support.en_US
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/s11069-025-07308-x
dc.identifier.endpage13028en_US
dc.identifier.issn0921-030X
dc.identifier.issn1573-0840
dc.identifier.issue11en_US
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-105004922612en_US
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ1en_US
dc.identifier.startpage13005en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-025-07308-x
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12684/22067
dc.identifier.volume121en_US
dc.identifier.wosWOS:001494215900001en_US
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ1en_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Scienceen_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopusen_US
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherSpringeren_US
dc.relation.ispartofNatural Hazardsen_US
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanıen_US
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessen_US
dc.snmzKA_WOS_20250911
dc.subjectVulnerabilityen_US
dc.subjectDisaster risken_US
dc.subjectAdaptive risk reductionen_US
dc.subjectResilienceen_US
dc.subjectIstanbulen_US
dc.titleAssessing disaster vulnerability and proposing an adaptive disaster risk reduction framework: the case of Istanbulen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US

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