Karayolu araç tipi ve kaza şekli ile kaza sonuçları arasındaki ilişkilerin analizi
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Tarih
2008
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info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
Özet
Bu çalışmada, kazaya karışan araç tipleri ve kazaların oluş şekli ile kaza sonuçları arasındaki ilişkiler analiz edilmiştir. Bu amaçla, D100/11 karayolunda 2000-2004 yılları arasında meydana gelen toplam 783 trafik kaza raporu incelenmiştir. Her bir kaza için araç tipleri, kazanın oluş şekli, ölü ve yaralı sayıları belirlenmiştir. Elde edilen veriler tablo haline getirilmiş ve SPSS programı kullanılarak çoklu lineer regresyon, korelasyon ve varyans analizleri yapılmıştır. Araç tiplerine bağlı olarak kaza sayısı, ölü sayısı ve yaralı sayılarının tahmin edilebilmesi için tahmin modelleri oluşturulmuştur. Sonuç olarak, araç tipi ile ölümlü kazalar arasındaki ilişkide, 0,49 ilişki düzeyiyle kamyonet birinci sırada ve 0,43 ile kamyon ikinci sırada yer alırken 0,21 ile otobüs son sırada yer almıştır. Araç tipi ile yaralanmalı kaza arasındaki ilişki de 0.90 ile otomobil ve 0,82 ile kamyonet ilk iki sırada yer alırken, 0,26 ile bisiklet son sırada yer almıştır. Kazaya neden olma açısından 0,92 ile otomobil ve 0,77 ile kamyonet ilk iki sırada yer alırken 0,23 ile bisiklet son sırada yer almıştır. Kazaların oluş şekli ile araç tipleri arasındaki ilişkide, 0,867 ile çarpışma şeklindeki kazalarla otomobil, 0,59 ile devrilme ve kamyon ilk iki sırada yer almıştır. Ölümlü ve yaralanmalı kazalarla çarpışma şeklinde olan kazalar arasındaki ilişki 0,915, duran cisme çarpma 0,743, devrilme 0,719, duran araca çarpma 0,679 ve yoldan çıkma 0,648 olarak belirlenmiştir.
In this study, effects of vehicle types and kind of the accidents, to the results of the traffic accidents on highways, were analyzed. For this purpose, the reports of a total 783 traffic accidents that took place on highway D100/11 between 2000 and 2004. For each one accident vehicle types, kind of accident and the number of dead and injured were determined. The collected data was formed in a table and using SPSS program, multi lineer regression, correlation and varience analysis were done. Depending on the vehicle types, prediction modals were formed for prediction of the number of accidents, the number of dead and the number of injured. It was discovered that in terms of correlation between the vehicle types and the deadly accidents, with 0,49 correlation value pickup trucks are at the first place, with 0,43 correlation value lorries are at the second place and with 0,21 correlation value buses are at the last place. In terms of correlation between the vehicle types and accidents with injured people, while with 0,90 and 0,82 correlation cars and pickup trucks take the first and the second places associatively, with 0,23 bicycles take the last place. In terms of causing accidents, while with 0,97 and 0,77 correlation cars and pickups take the first and the second places associatively and again with 0,23 bicycles take the last place. In terms of correlation between how accidents happen and the vehicle types, it was discovered that the correlation between cars and the collision type of accidents is 0,867, and the correlation between the lorries and turn over kind of accidents is 0,59. It has also been discovered in terms of accidents causing dead or injured, with 0,915 and 0,743 correlation, collision type of accident and collision with stable objects take the first and second places, and with 0,244 correlation, collision with a pedestrian takes the last place.
In this study, effects of vehicle types and kind of the accidents, to the results of the traffic accidents on highways, were analyzed. For this purpose, the reports of a total 783 traffic accidents that took place on highway D100/11 between 2000 and 2004. For each one accident vehicle types, kind of accident and the number of dead and injured were determined. The collected data was formed in a table and using SPSS program, multi lineer regression, correlation and varience analysis were done. Depending on the vehicle types, prediction modals were formed for prediction of the number of accidents, the number of dead and the number of injured. It was discovered that in terms of correlation between the vehicle types and the deadly accidents, with 0,49 correlation value pickup trucks are at the first place, with 0,43 correlation value lorries are at the second place and with 0,21 correlation value buses are at the last place. In terms of correlation between the vehicle types and accidents with injured people, while with 0,90 and 0,82 correlation cars and pickup trucks take the first and the second places associatively, with 0,23 bicycles take the last place. In terms of causing accidents, while with 0,97 and 0,77 correlation cars and pickups take the first and the second places associatively and again with 0,23 bicycles take the last place. In terms of correlation between how accidents happen and the vehicle types, it was discovered that the correlation between cars and the collision type of accidents is 0,867, and the correlation between the lorries and turn over kind of accidents is 0,59. It has also been discovered in terms of accidents causing dead or injured, with 0,915 and 0,743 correlation, collision type of accident and collision with stable objects take the first and second places, and with 0,244 correlation, collision with a pedestrian takes the last place.
Açıklama
Anahtar Kelimeler
Kaynak
Gazi Üniversitesi Mühendislik Mimarlık Fakültesi Dergisi
WoS Q Değeri
Scopus Q Değeri
Cilt
23
Sayı
1
