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Restoring Balance: The Intersection of Management and Fishing Sustainability in Indonesia
(Wiley, 2025) Mustafa, Kirca; Muhammet, Yeniyurt; Serif, Canbay; Nurullah, Altintas
As the world's second-largest fish producer, Indonesia plays a crucial role in global fishing. However, overfishing, habitat degradation, population growth, and container port traffic threaten the sustainability of the fishing industry. We examined the impacts of fishing, population growth, and container port traffic on Indonesia's fishing load capacity factor (FLCF) during 2000-2022 using the Fractional Frequency Fourier Augmented Autoregressive Distributed Lag model (FFF-ARDL). An inverted U-shaped relationship between fishing production and FLCF indicated that initial increases in production enhanced fishing sustainability, but environmental quality deteriorated when production surpassed 7.87 million metric tons. Container port traffic and population growth negatively affected FLCF, with a 1% increase in port activity reducing FLCF by 0.12% and a 1% increase in population growth reducing FLCF by 0.41%. Increasing port activity, rapid urbanization, and maritime trade exacerbated environmental pressures on Indonesia's marine ecosystems. We conclude that fishing, container port traffic, and population growth hindered Indonesia from reaching its sustainability development goal.